This post was written by Maggie Mahar and Niko Karvounis
Life expectancy is a pretty simple concept: it’s an estimation of how long the average person lives. Anyone can understand that. So how is this for a compelling data point: if you look at life expectancy in nations around the globe, you’ll find that over the past 20 years, the U.S. has sunk from ranking No. 11 to ranking No. 42. In other words, a baby born in 2004 in any one of 41 other countries can expect to live longer than his or her American counterpart.
This may come as a surprise. Sure, we all know the health care system in the U.S. is broken, but life expectancy isn’t just tied to medicine—it’s also related to quality of life in a larger sense. (I can live in a nation with the best health care system in the world, but if it’s in the throes of civil war, my life expectancy will be short). As we all know, the American standard of living is the envy of the world. After all, we’re the richest country on the globe. So what gives?
While some of us are rich, the average American is not. And while the rich are living longer, the poor are living shorter. Factor in the profit motive that drives U.S. healthcare, and you will begin to understand why American medicine has done little to heal the gap between rich and poor. Over the past twenty-five years, we have poured money into healthcare, but have paid relatively little attention to public health.
This may seem a bold claim, but last month the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) issued a report that provides the numbers: “In 1980,” the CBO found that “life expectancy at birth was 2.8 years more for the highest socioeconomic group than for the lowest. By 2000, that gap had risen to 4.5 years.”
The report notes that “the 1.7-year increase in the gap” between socioeconomic groups “amounts to more than half of the increase in overall average life expectancy at birth between 1980 and 2000.” In other words, even though the average life expectancy has increased in the U.S., it has grown more slowly because of widening socioeconomic disparities.
Citizens of countries that don’t tolerate as much inequality enjoy
longer lives. According to numbers from the Census Bureau and the
National Center for Health Statistics, a baby born in the United States
in 2004 will live an average of 77.9 years. In the U.K., an ’04 baby
can expect to live 78.7 years; in Germany, 79 years; in Norway, 79.7
years; in Canada, 80.3 years; in Australia, Sweden, and Switzerland,
80.6 years; and in Japan, a newborn can expect to live 81. 4 years.
Somehow or other, when they hear these figures, most Americans just
shrug. Indeed, “it is remarkable how complacent the public and the
medical profession are in their acceptance of” our low ranking when it
comes to life expectancy, “especially in light of trends in national
spending on health, ” Dr. Steven Schroeder, a professor in the
Department of Medicine at the University of California, San Francisco wrote in the New England Journal of Medicine last year.
“One reason for the complacency may be the rationalization that the
United States is more ethnically heterogeneous than the nations at the
top of the rankings, such as Japan, Switzerland, and Iceland. But,”
Schroeder pointed out, “even when comparisons are limited to white
Americans, our performance is dismal (see table below) And even if the
health status of white Americans matched that in the leading nations,
it would still be incumbent on us to improve the health of the entire
nation.”
In the OECD countries that outrank us, the gaps between rich and
poor are not as great and, not coincidentally, all have universal
health insurance. (As Maggie wrote in an earlier post
on Health Beat, in countries that are mainly middle-class, there tends
to be more social solidarity. People identify with each other, and are
more willing to pool their resources to pay for healthcare for
everyone.)
But having access to health care is only a small part of health.
Schroeder identifies five factors that determine health and longevity:
“social circumstances, genetics, environmental exposures, behavioral
patterns and health care.” Of these five, when “it comes to reducing
early deaths,” he points out, “medical care has a relatively minor
role.” Indeed, “inadequate health care accounts for only 10% of
premature deaths, yet it receives by far the greatest share of
resources and attention.”
Socioeconomic status is the strongest predictor of health, above and
beyond access to health care. This is because socioeconomic status
includes access to health care and a variety of other factors. Even if
when the poor have insurance, they are less likely to have access to
cutting-edge medical discoveries; they’re more likely to smoke, more
likely to be obese, more likely to live in unsafe or unhealthy
environments. They also tend to be less educated, meaning that they are
less able to manage chronic diseases.
These facts are reflected in life expectancy. African-Americans are
more likely to live in poverty than other Americans: as a result, black
men can expect to live six years less than white men, and black women
four years less than white women. Education, another critical
component of socioeconomic status, also contributes to the story. The
CBO reports that “the gap in life expectancy at age 25 between
individuals with a high school education or less and individuals with
any college education increased by about 30 percent” from 1990 to 2000.
“The gap widened because of increases in life expectancy for the better
educated group,” the report notes. “Life expectancy for those with less
education did not increase over that period.”
This trend is clear: since 1980, affluent members of society have made
gains while the have-nots have, at best, run in place, and, at worst,
lost ground. Another recent study published in the PLoS Medicine
takes a broader look at the problem by going all the way back to 1960
to see at how life expectancies have differed in U.S. counties.
(Counties were used because they are the smallest geographic units for
which death rates are collected, thus allowing for a precise comparison
of subgroups). The authors, who hail from Harvard, UCSF, and the
University of Washington, discovered that “beginning in the early 1980s
and continuing through 1999, those who were already disadvantaged did
not benefit from the gains in life expectancy experienced by the
advantaged, and some became even worse off.”
1980 was a watershed year. Indeed, the study reports that from 1960 to
1980, life expectancy increased everywhere. But “beginning in the early
1980s the differences in death rates among/across different counties
began to increase. The worst-off counties no longer experienced a fall
in death rates, and in a substantial number of counties, mortality
actually increased, especially for women…”
So what was so special—or rather, harmful—about the 1980s?
1980 was the year that a conservative agenda firmly replaced the “War
on Poverty” that LBJ had begun in the 1960s. For the next 28 years, the
trend would continue as corporate welfare and tax cuts for the wealthy
replaced programs for the poor and middle-class.
As the authors of a 2006 PLoS Medicine
study note, “in the 1980s there was a general cutting back of welfare
state provisions in America, which included cuts to public health and
antipoverty programs, tax relief for the wealthy, and worsening
inequity in the access to and quality of health care.” By contrast, in
the 1960s, “civil rights legislation and the establishment of Medicare
set out to reduce socioeconomic and racial/ethnic inequalities and
improve access to health care.”
But after 1980, the ’06 PLoS Medicine study shows that rates of
premature mortality across socioeconomic groups began to diverge,
helping to roll back the gains of the 1960s and 1970s. In a stunning
conclusion, the study’s authors reported that “if all people in the US
population experienced the same health gains as the most advantaged
[i.e. whites in the highest income group] without the problems of the
1980s, “14 percent of the premature deaths among whites and 30 percent
of the premature deaths among people of color would have been
prevented.”
In sum, the stronger social safety net of the 1960s helped to increase
longevity for all Americans; its erosion in the 1980s created a
discrepancy between the haves and the have-nots. Indeed, given that
socioeconomic status is the strongest predictor of health, it’s
noteworthy that the lowest quintile of earners in the U.S. saw its
income fall by 15 percent between 1979 and 1993, while the highest 20
percent saw their income grow by 18 percent over this same period. The
poverty rate in the U.S. was cut nearly in half tin the 1960s; from
1980 to 1989, it inched down by just one percentage point.
Clearly, the decline of American longevity is related to an increase in
American inequality. But it would be short-sighted to stop our analysis
here. It’s also worth asking, where have we been spending our health
care dollars?
“To the extent that the United States has a health strategy, its focus
is on the development of new medical technologies and support for basic
biomedical research,” Schroeder observes. “We already lead the world in
the per capita use of most diagnostic and therapeutic medical
technologies, and we have recently doubled the budget for the National
Institutes of Health. But these popular achievements are unlikely to
improve our relative performance” when it comes to longevity.
If we want to cut the number of premature deaths, we might put more
emphasis on smoking cessation clinics. “Smoking causes 440,000 deaths a
year in the United States,” notes Schroeder,
who directs the Smoking Cessation Leadership Center at UCSF. “Smoking
shortens smokers’ lives by 10 to 15 years, and those last few years can
be a miserable combination of severe breathlessness and pain.” 44.5
million Americans still smoke. “Smoking among pregnant women is a
major contributor to premature births and infant mortality. Smoking is
increasingly concentrated in the lower socioeconomic classes and among
those with mental illness or problems with substance abuse,” Schroeder
explains. “Understanding why they smoke and how to help them quit
should be a key national research priority. Given the effects of
smoking on health, the relative inattention to tobacco by those federal
and state agencies charged with protecting the public health is
baffling and disappointing.”
Kaiser Permanente of northern California has shown that it can be done.
When Kaiser implemented a multisystem approach to help smokers quit,
Schroeder reports that “the smoking rate dropped from 12.2% to 9.2% in
just 3 years. Of the current 44.5 million smokers, 70% claim they would
like to quit. Assuming that one half of those 31 million potential
nonsmokers will die because of smoking, that translates into 15.5
million potentially preventable premature deaths. Merely increasing the
baseline quit rate from the current 2.5% of smokers to 10% — a rate
seen in placebo groups in most published trials of the new cessation
drugs — would prevent 1,170,000 premature deaths. No other medical or
public health intervention approaches this degree of impact. And we
already have the tools to accomplish it.”
The poor also are more likely to be obese, “in part because of
inadequate local food choices and recreational opportunities,” says
Schroeder. Fattening foods are cheaper than fresh fruit, vegetables
and fish, particularly if you are shopping in inner cities. Gyms are
too expensive for low-income families; exercising outdoors can be
dangerous, and in inner cities, public schools often lack playgrounds
and gymnasiums.
“Psychosocial stress” also leads poorer Americans to engage in “other
behaviors that reduce life expectancy such as drug use and alcoholism,”
Schroeder notes. And even when they avoid these behaviors, “ people in
lower classes are less healthy and die earlier than others.” A polluted
environment, combined with uncertainty and worry, takes a toll.
Rather than focusing solely on medicine and medical care, Schroeder is
committed to strategies that would improve public health. In the U.S.
there is a sharp division between the two, with public health always
the poor relation.
“It’s harder, because there’s stigma attached to it,” Schroeder explains.
“There’s a sense among some that if a large portion of the nation’s
population is obese or sedentary, drinks or smokes too much, or uses
illegal drugs, that’s their own fault or their own business.”
“We often get a double-standard question,” he continues. “Critics who
object to investing more in programs that could help drug addicts and
alcoholics, ask: Well, don’t many of these people relapse?
“Yes, of course,” Schroeder responds. “But is it worth treating
pancreatic cancer, which has a 5 percent survival rate, at most? Yes.
So the odds of successfully treating drug abuse or alcoholism are
actually better than in many of the serious illnesses that society,
without question, wants us to treat.”
Schroeder is right: When allocating health care dollars, we eagerly
spend far more on cutting-edge drugs that might give a cancer patient
an extra five months than on drug rehab clinics that could make the
difference between dying at 28 and living to 68.
Again, 1980 marks a turning point, notes Marcia Angell, a Senior Lecturer at Harvard Medical School and the former editor-in-chief of NEJM.
“Between 1960 and 1980, “prescription drug sales were fairly static as
a percent of US gross domestic product, but from 1980 to 2000, they
tripled.”
This wasn’t just happenstance, says Angell. A major catalyst of the
pharma boom was the Bayh-Dole Act of 1980, a law that “enabled
universities and small businesses to patent discoveries emanating from
research sponsored by the National Institutes of Health, the major
distributor of tax dollars for medical research, and then to grant
exclusive licenses to drug companies.” In other words, the Bayh-Dole
Act commoditized medical research.
Before 1980, “taxpayer-financed discoveries were in the public domain,
available to any company that wanted to use them,” says Angell. As a
result, long-term, collaborative tinkering could help to create new and
effective medications. But Bayh-Dole made research proprietary and
profitable.
After Bayh-Dole, drug research seemed to be less about making real
medical progress, and more about doing the bare minimum to create a
patentable product. And so began the age of me-too drugs, which do
little to promote health and instead exist to increase market share. In
a Boston Globe op-ed
last year, Angell observed that, “according to FDA classifications,
fully 80 percent of drugs that entered the market during this decade
are unlikely to be better than existing ones for the same condition.”
Why are we willing to devote 13 or 14 percent of our $2.2 trillion
health care budget to prescription drugs, while refusing to help the quarter of the population that still smokes?
“It is arguable that the status quo is an accurate expression of the national political will — a relentless search for better health among the middle and upper classes,” Schroeder acknowledges.
[our emphasis] “This pursuit is also evident in how we consistently
outspend all other countries in the use of alternative medicines and
cosmetic surgeries and in how frequently health ‘cures’ and ‘scares’
are featured in the popular media. The result is that only when the
middle class feels threatened by external menaces (e.g., secondhand
tobacco smoke, bioterrorism, and airplane exposure to
multidrug-resistant tuberculosis) will it embrace public health
measures. In contrast, our investment in improving population health —
whether judged on the basis of support for research, insurance
coverage, or government-sponsored public health activities — is
anemic.”
We’re hopeful that this will change. In going to medical conferences
over the past year, Maggie has met an impressive number of very, very
bright 20-somethings who are devoting their careers to public health.
And they understand that “medicine” and “public health” are not
separate disciplines.

Albainians are 126th in per capita income, spend a pittance on healthcare compared to the world but can expect to live to 76. I think the other countries have caught up in regards to public health to where we were 25 years ago is one factor. Albania’s example shows the poor can be healthy too though. Bottomline, we as americans are spoiled, we take the easy way every time. We would rather drive a block than walk, use an elevator than go up a flight of stairs, order a Supersize fast food meal that has enough sugar to supply the human body for 4 days, spend thirty bucks a week on cigarettes and cell phone ringtones, but complain how much it costs to join a gym. We have become the fattest and laziest country to ever live on planet earth and to place the blame of our life expectancy rankings at the feet of our hospitals and healthcare providers and is completely misguided. When a beat up car comes to a mechanic they don’t blame the driver they just do their job and send a bill. What are Albainian’s “psychosocial stress” that allow them to make a fraction of what we do but do very well in life expectancy? I think a huge part is the “blessed” american lifestyle with our incredible portions of food, high fructose corn syrup and addiction to cheap gas and less the divide between the rich and poor. I think the rich and the poor know what is good and what is bad for them, I mean you would have to be from Mars to not know that smoking is bad for you, but the rich have basically decided “life is good, I better take care of myself” and the poor, “Ah, screw it.”
Your reporting of the Medical Profession’s complacency regarding public health issues only amplifies its self serving and “cowboy” nature. I am dismayed. But it may reflect an aspect we(physicians) learn from intimate years face to face with human nature.
Honestly, I have a strong sympathy for the fundamental beliefs of conservatives. That is, personal responsibility is the value that drives personal and social growth. It is the motivated, thoughtful artist who can create. It is the avid and productive entrepreneur who jumps into the marketplace. It is the personally responsible patient who maintains and promotes their health.
So, conservatives recoil at the concept of the public trough. Boot straps for all.
I think this divide between liberals and conservatives is only getting wider, like the wealth gap. And it serves both to reinforce the perceptions of each, when we really need some unity…?Hope for Change? I’m thinking a holocaust might be the energy needed to move this social inertia.
“Socioeconomic status is the strongest predictor of health”
Maggie Mahar: “This is because socioeconomic status includes access to health care and a variety of other factors. Even if when the poor have insurance, they are less likely to have access to cutting-edge medical discoveries; they’re more likely to smok
makes sense, but confused by assertion that poor are more likely to be obese. obesity in america data shows that 23% of those below $20k were obese in 2001, about same incidence for those making $20k-$75k. are these numbers wrong? have they changed significantly in past few years?
Just to be a bit flippant the artificially sweetened drink Tab was introduced in 1963.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tab_(soft_drink)
More seriously, I think a comprehensive study would require examining many social and cultural factors to see which have had a significant affect on health.
Treating disease and avoiding it in the first place are two different issues. We are treating disease reasonably well, even if inefficiently, but the measures for a healthy lifestyle have all been in decline for a long time.
Just yesterday the consumer advocate for NYC brought up the fact that many schools in the city are in violation of a state regulation about providing mandated amounts of physical activity.
Other factors that could be examined include incidents of breast feeding (and duration), rise of fast food (high fat) restaurants, use of high fructose corn syrup and the invention of the TV remote control.
Something is broken, but I’m not sure we know exactly what it is.
Everyone needs to prepare for living longer. Retirement income planning now-a-days does not provide the same luxuries that it did in the past. People are living longer and not saving additional funds for that increase in life span. Longevity insurance is a new product to be hitting the market in the UK and starting in the US.
http://www.longevityquotes.com
Thank you for your comments:
Jenga–I agree that our consumerist society is bad for our health. We spend far too much time in cars,shopping and looking for convenience foods.
But I suspect something else is going on with Albanians. Quite possibly, it is genetic.
I don’t know much about Albanian history, but I’m quite sure that Albania is located in a part of the world where where it has been very difficult to survive for a very, very long time.(This is not a fertile crescent–it’s an areas where it is not easy to grow food, etc. )
And poltically, the history of that part of the world has been extremely difficult.
Thus, those who did survive may have had very strong genes. (This, I think, is also why peoples who have lived in Northern Russia for a very long time live long lives. It’s not the yogurt. Though I eat plain yogurt every day.)
Ddx:dx–I completely understand why constant face-to-face contact with human nature could, indeed, drive a physician to feel “why don’t these people just shape up??”
As you put it: “It is the personally responsible patient who maintains and promotes their health.
So, conservatives recoil at the concept of the public trough. Boot straps for all. ”
But what the conservative point of view overlooks is that we are not all born equal.
Some people are born smarter than others. Some are born with hereditary mental diseases. (See our recent post on longevity and the very high percentage of smokers who are mentally ill.)
Some are born with a genetic propensity to be obese or alcholic.
Medicine still hasn’t figured out how to help many of these people long-term. We have very good tools to help people stop smoking, but our track record in terms of helping patinents suffering from obesity and alcoholism is still very poor.
These are very complicated diseases with genetic/environmental and psychological components that, at this point, we don’t fully understand.
Everyone else–I’ll be getting back to you tomorrow
What if humans are neutral when it comes to health intuition, and only respond to the sum total of what they are taught/exposed to. For example, let us assume that every bad commercial message would have to be counteracted by a good message to stay neutral in people’s future behaviors. If this assumption was true (and it may well be!), then I think it becomes very obvious why the US is losing the public health battle. Even if there was a 3 to 1 ratio that 1 good message could counteract 3 bad ones, the US would still be in behavioral trouble.
Just a thought as to what kind of real action might be needed to bring about healthy behaviors in the majority of the population. BTW, who would pay for such overwhelming numbers of good messages, OR how could we cut back on the bad messages which currently fill the airwaves????
But…..But…. we are all such good consumers?!?!
I’m surprised diet wasn’t mentioned at all. I’d argue diet is the biggest factor affecting both longevity and quality of life.
Other countries view Americans as greedy and not people who care about taking care of one another. Even just across the border in Canada things are different.
What can we do to change this?
Maggie:
I read the PLOS study several months ago. I spent more time on the DATA and less time with their subjective evaluation and conjecture based on the data. What impressed me was the conclusion that life expectancy was NOT correlated with access to health care. In other words there was no statistically significant difference among the 8 different groups identified with respect to access to health care IN ANY RESPECT (insurance, geography, cost, etc.).
What WAS significant was the greater incidence of deaths due to things over which individuals have some control. The number of deaths due to accidents related to alcohol abuse, for example. The number of deaths related to pulmonary disease related to smoking, etc. Some of these were particularly deadly in certain groups in our heterogenous population.
Your initial post emphasizing the authors’ conjecture, associating certain macro trends in American domestic policies with the disparity in longevity among groups, may have some validity insofar as relative wealth among the groups is concerned. But my reading of the study is that it specifically DISPROVES reduced access to health care in the lagging groups, a surprising yet firm conclusion.
Trying to undo, reverse, or weaken that conclusion as you and the authors and some of your other commenters seem to be attempting is disingenuous. It’s an effort to hold on to a concept despite objective evidence that it is not valid. One must apply a more rigorous intellectual effort in the face of such data and search for the true underlying cause (income? net worth?). This effort will produce a menu of solutions that might minimize the scourge of un-intended consequences.
Anything less runs the risk of intellectual laziness and dishonesty.
Bingo, Billy, NG–thanks for your comments.
Bingo– I’m wondering if you read the whole post?
You write: “What impressed me was the conclusion that life expectancy was NOT correlated with access to health care”
We wrote: “But having access to health care is only a small part of health. . . . when “it comes to reducing early deaths,” he points out, “medical care has a relatively minor role.”
I really do see the difference between your interpreation of the report and ours.
You go on to say: “What WAS significant was the greater incidence of deaths due to things over which individuals have some control. The number of deaths due to accidents related to alcohol abuse, for example. The number of deaths related to pulmonary disease related to smoking, etc. ”
As we pointed out, all of the reserach shows that smoking, obesity, alcoholism etc. are related to poverty. Schroeder’s work shows that 1/2 of adults who still smoke are mentally ill. ental disease is also associated with poverty.
The stress of being poor exacerbates mental illness, particuarly depression. It also leads to drinking as a form of self-medication.
Poverty, more than anything else, leads to premature death. We know this. We also know that this is the main difference between the U.S. and other developed countires–we have many more really poor people.
This wasn’t always the case. Before 1980 the income disparities between rich and poor white Americans were not nearly as great. In the 1950s adn 1960s, for white Americans this really was a mainly middle-class country–like Switzerland or Germany.
But in 1980, poverty programs were cut, scholarships based on need were slashed (in favor of low-interset loans to upper-middle class families)and the upper-middle-class became wealthier while the lower-middle class and working classes became poorer. Meanwhile, the poor became homeless.
Suggesting that obese people should be able to “control” their problem ignorees the fact that doctors who have spent decades reseraching obesity still haven’t figured out how to help obese people lose weight and keep it off. So it’s not just a matter of obsee people having the self-disciplien to follow dostor’s orders. Doctors don’t know what to tell them ot do.
This is why they have resorted to bariatric surgery– a dangerous procedure that is a last resort.
Obesity is a complex disesase with genetic, psycological and socio-economic factors all playing a role.
Alcoholism is a similarly difficult nut to crack. AA works for some people–but not all. (It helps enormously if you believe in AA’s religious teachings–if you don’t, it’s less likely it will work.)
We do know how to help people stop smoking. But, as Schroeder points out, if they are severely depressed, addicted to other drugs (which they often are), it’s going to be very hard for them to quit.
The VA has done a remarkably good job of trying. One thing it learned is that when it dropped the $15 co-pay for smoking cessation treatment, the number of vets who signed up increased dramatically–and their success rate was very high.
This is further evidence that even modest co-pays serve as barriers to people getting care.
Billy– When we talk about obesity we are talking about diet. And again, it’s linked to poverty.
Obesity is much more prevalent among poor Americans. Hi-carb foods are cheap and filling.
Fresh fruits, vegetables and fresh are expensive–especially if you’re shopping in an inner-city grocery store or in a poor, rural area.
In Manhattan I’ll find an abundant supply of fruit and vegetables year around because there are enough relatively affluent people to buy them that stores can stay well stocked without worrying about spoilage, and lower their prices because they’re doing so much volume. . .
NG–Certainly TV ads have an affect on our eating habits, but cost and where you live is a big factor.
What would it take to improve eating habits?
For one, we coudl pay for really healthy and appetizing school lunches in our public schools–lots of fresh fruit (not fruit juice, not canned fruit ) lean protein (lean ground sirloin), good cheese, lean roast-beef sandwiches on whole-grain bread, yogurt, low-fat milk etc. No sodas, potato chips, white bread,heavy pastas etc.
This would be expensive, yes. It would mean paying more in taxes in support our public schools.
We also could serve better free breakfasts to low-income school children.
And perhaps we could subsidize co-operative super-markets in low-income areas so that they could stock fresh fruit, vegetables etc. and sell them at a lower price.
Schools also could run adult cooking courses at night or on week-ends (when working people might have time to come) showing adults how to cook appetizing, less fattening foods–soups, salads, etc.
These are just a few ideas, but basically it’s about ramping up the war on poverty . . .