Over at TNR, special correspondent Thomas B. Edsall raises
provocative questions about the coalition of wealthy and poor that
elected Obama. Will they stand together? Below, excerpts from his
post, and my comments:
“The health care debate has exposed the
ideological tension in Barack Obama’s political coalition between
moderates and liberals. But it has also offered hints of how another,
less obvious divide built into the Democratic majority could wreak
havoc on the administration during the years to come.
“In 2008, the Democratic Party blossomed into a successful alliance
of the upscale and the downscale–wealthy and needy marching hand in
hand, sharing animosity to George W. Bush and the war in Iraq. The
extent to which Democrats are relying on the far extremes of the income
spectrum is striking. Democrats have generally performed well among
low-income voters in the past, but now, the phenomenon has become more
pronounced. Voters from households making less than $30,000 backed
Obama by 31 points last November. That margin was 13 points higher than
Jimmy Carter’s advantage over Gerald Ford with poor voters in 1976–and
21 points better than Walter Mondale’s advantage among the same
demographic in 1984.